What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 72¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.98.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 73% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 72%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Republican statewide sweeps on Kalshi

If ALL of the Republican candidates for every partisan statewide office in West Virginia except President win their respective elections in the November 7, 2028 general elections and any runoffs from them by Dec 5, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: South Dakota Secretary of State, Oklahoma State Election Board, Georgia Secretary of State, Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Arizona Secretary of State, West Virginia Secretary of State, Texas Secretary of State, Indiana Secretary of State, Ohio Secretary of State, North Carolina State Board of Elections, New Hampshire Secretary of State, Missouri Secretary of State, Montana Secretary of State, Pennsylvania Department of State, North Dakota Secretary of State.

Market says (typical open contract)

72%

Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

56% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
72¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.98	73.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Republican statewide sweep in West Virginia? · West Virginia	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Utah? · Utah	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	56%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Texas? · Texas	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	90%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in South Dakota? · South Dakota	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Pennsylvania? · Pennsylvania	21¢	21%	1.2¢	—	42%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Oklahoma? · Oklahoma	86¢	86%	0.8¢	—	28%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Ohio? · Ohio	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	72%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in New Hampshire? · New Hampshire	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in North Dakota? · North Dakota	79¢	79%	1.2¢	—	42%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in North Carolina? · North Carolina	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Montana? · Montana	75¢	75%	1.3¢	—	50%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Missouri? · Missouri	81¢	81%	1.1¢	—	38%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Indiana? · Indiana	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	46%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Georgia? · Georgia	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC
Republican statewide sweep in Arizona? · Arizona	23¢	23%	1.2¢	—	46%	Nov 07, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.