Markets › Kalshi › Financials
GBP/USD after economic events on Kalshi
If the GBP/USD exchange rate published by Pyth Network is above 1.3600 at Nov 20, 2026 at 3:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - GBPUSD.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 210 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3100 on Nov 12 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 6 | Nov 12, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3600 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3600 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3575 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3575 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3550 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3550 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3525 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3525 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3500 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3500 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3475 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3475 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3450 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3450 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3425 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3425 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3400 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3400 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3375 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3375 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3350 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3350 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3325 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3325 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3300 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3300 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3275 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3275 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3250 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3250 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3225 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3225 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3200 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3200 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3175 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3175 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3150 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3150 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3125 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3125 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3100 on Nov 20 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3100 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 20, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3600 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3600 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3575 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3575 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3550 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3550 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3525 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3525 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3500 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3500 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3475 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3475 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3450 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3450 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3425 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3425 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3400 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3400 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3375 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3375 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3350 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3350 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3325 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3325 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3300 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3300 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3275 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3275 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3250 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3250 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3225 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3225 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3200 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3200 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
| Will GBP/USD be above 1.3175 on Nov 17 at 3:00am ET? · Above 1.3175 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 17, 08:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 210 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.