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FIBA Champions League Total on Kalshi
If over 199.5 total points are scored in the Trabzonspor Basketbol vs BK Sabah Baku men's professional FIBA Champions League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore, FIBA Champions League.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 129.5 points scored · Over 129.5 points scored | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 20 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 199.5 points scored · Over 199.5 points scored | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 189.5 points scored · Over 189.5 points scored | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 179.5 points scored · Over 179.5 points scored | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 169.5 points scored · Over 169.5 points scored | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 159.5 points scored · Over 159.5 points scored | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 149.5 points scored · Over 149.5 points scored | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 139.5 points scored · Over 139.5 points scored | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Over 119.5 points scored · Over 119.5 points scored | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.