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FIBA Champions League Spread on Kalshi
If Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by more than 6.5 points in the Trabzonspor Basketbol vs BK Sabah Baku men's professional FIBA Champions League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore, FIBA Champions League.
Market says (typical open contract)
24%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
48% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.66 | 25.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 6.5 points · Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 6.5 points | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 2.5 points · Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 2.5 points | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 22.5 points · Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 22.5 points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 18.5 points · Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 18.5 points | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 14.5 points · Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 14.5 points | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 10.5 points · Trabzonspor Basketbol wins by over 10.5 points | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins by over 6.5 points · BK Sabah Baku wins by over 6.5 points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins by over 2.5 points · BK Sabah Baku wins by over 2.5 points | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins by over 22.5 points · BK Sabah Baku wins by over 22.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins by over 18.5 points · BK Sabah Baku wins by over 18.5 points | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins by over 14.5 points · BK Sabah Baku wins by over 14.5 points | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BK Sabah Baku wins by over 10.5 points · BK Sabah Baku wins by over 10.5 points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.