What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

F1 Race Podium Finisher on Kalshi

If Max Verstappen finishes in the top 3 (podium finish) in the main race originally scheduled for November 21, 2026 at the 2026 Las Vegas Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: FIA.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Makers also pay a smaller fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Main Race: Lewis Hamilton to finish top 3 · Lewis Hamilton	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	68%	505	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Charles Leclerc to finish top 3 · Charles Leclerc	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	55%	386	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Max Verstappen to finish top 3 · Max Verstappen	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	59%	374	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Lando Norris to finish top 3 · Lando Norris	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	73%	248	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: George Russell to finish top 3 · George Russell	39¢	39%	1.7¢	—	78%	129	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Andrea Kimi Antonelli to finish top 3 · Andrea Kimi Antonelli	62¢	62%	1.6¢	—	75%	64	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Pierre Gasly to finish top 3 · Pierre Gasly	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	27	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Isack Hadjar to finish top 3 · Isack Hadjar	17¢	17%	1.0¢	—	34%	10	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Oscar Piastri to finish top 3 · Oscar Piastri	26¢	26%	1.3¢	—	52%	1	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Lance Stroll to finish top 3 · Lance Stroll	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Carlos Sainz Jr. to finish top 3 · Carlos Sainz Jr.	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Sergio Perez to finish top 3 · Sergio Perez	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Arvid Lindblad to finish top 3 · Arvid Lindblad	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Liam Lawson to finish top 3 · Liam Lawson	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Nico Hulkenberg to finish top 3 · Nico Hulkenberg	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Ryo Hirakawa to finish top 3 · Ryo Hirakawa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Franco Colapinto to finish top 3 · Franco Colapinto	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Valtteri Bottas to finish top 3 · Valtteri Bottas	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Gabriel Bortoleto to finish top 3 · Gabriel Bortoleto	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Oliver Bearman to finish top 3 · Oliver Bearman	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Fernando Alonso to finish top 3 · Fernando Alonso	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC
Main Race: Alexander Albon to finish top 3 · Alexander Albon	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 29, 10:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.