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FIA Action of the Year Award on Kalshi
If Max Verstappen wins the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: FIA.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 23 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Andrea Kimi Antonelli | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 15,258 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Max Verstappen win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Max Verstappen | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 7,505 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Lewis Hamilton | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 2,540 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will George Russell win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · George Russell | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,174 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lando Norris win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Lando Norris | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,018 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Charles Leclerc | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 779 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arvid Lindblad win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Arvid Lindblad | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 660 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nico Hulkenberg win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Nico Hulkenberg | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 584 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Franco Colapinto win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Franco Colapinto | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 448 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Oscar Piastri | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 242 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Isack Hadjar win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Isack Hadjar | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 241 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie/Co-Winners win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Tie/Co-Winners | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 217 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carlos Sainz win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Carlos Sainz | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 188 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Oliver Bearman win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Oliver Bearman | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 147 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fernando Alonso win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Fernando Alonso | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 132 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lance Stroll win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Lance Stroll | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sergio Perez win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Sergio Perez | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Esteban Ocon win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Esteban Ocon | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Liam Lawson win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Liam Lawson | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pierre Gasly win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Pierre Gasly | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Valtteri Bottas win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Valtteri Bottas | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Gabriel Bortoleto | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexander Albon win the FIA F1 Action of the Year award in the 2026 FIA (Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile) season? · Alexander Albon | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 100 | Jan 14, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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