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EuroCup Basketball Spread on Kalshi
If Reyer Venezia wins by more than 3.5 points in the Reyer Venezia vs London Lions men's professional EuroCup basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Eurocup.
Market says (typical open contract)
36%
Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
73% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 36¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.24 | 37.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK BC wins by over 11.5 points · PAOK BC wins by over 11.5 points | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 4 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Reyer Venezia wins by over 3.5 points · Reyer Venezia wins by over 3.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Reyer Venezia wins by over 11.5 points · Reyer Venezia wins by over 11.5 points | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| London Lions wins by over 3.5 points · London Lions wins by over 3.5 points | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Basquet Manresa wins by over 4.5 points · Basquet Manresa wins by over 4.5 points | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Basquet Manresa wins by over 12.5 points · Basquet Manresa wins by over 12.5 points | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo wins by over 3.5 points · KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo wins by over 3.5 points | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Rostock Seawolves wins by over 3.5 points · Rostock Seawolves wins by over 3.5 points | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana wins by over 3.5 points · KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana wins by over 3.5 points | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana wins by over 11.5 points · KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana wins by over 11.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Tofas SK Bursa wins by over 3.5 points · Tofas SK Bursa wins by over 3.5 points | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Tofas SK Bursa wins by over 11.5 points · Tofas SK Bursa wins by over 11.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Aquila Basket Trento wins by over 3.5 points · Aquila Basket Trento wins by over 3.5 points | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| JL Bourg Basket wins by over 3.5 points · JL Bourg Basket wins by over 3.5 points | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| KK Buducnost Voli wins by over 3.5 points · KK Buducnost Voli wins by over 3.5 points | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| KK Buducnost Voli wins by over 11.5 points · KK Buducnost Voli wins by over 11.5 points | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| PAOK BC wins by over 3.5 points · PAOK BC wins by over 3.5 points | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Balkan Botevgrad wins by over 3.5 points · Balkan Botevgrad wins by over 3.5 points | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Slask Wroclaw wins by over 3.5 points · Slask Wroclaw wins by over 3.5 points | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| BC Neptunas Klaipeda wins by over 7.5 points · BC Neptunas Klaipeda wins by over 7.5 points | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| BC Neptunas Klaipeda wins by over 15.5 points · BC Neptunas Klaipeda wins by over 15.5 points | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| U-BT Cluj-Napoca wins by over 3.5 points · U-BT Cluj-Napoca wins by over 3.5 points | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Turk Telekom wins by over 6.5 points · Turk Telekom wins by over 6.5 points | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Turk Telekom wins by over 14.5 points · Turk Telekom wins by over 14.5 points | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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