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EuroCup Basketball Game on Kalshi
If Fraport Skyliners wins the Maxima Roma vs Fraport Skyliners men's professional EuroCup basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Eurocup.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
96% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KK Buducnost Voli wins · KK Buducnost Voli | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 595 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| PAOK BC wins · PAOK BC | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 595 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| BC Neptunas Klaipeda wins · BC Neptunas Klaipeda | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 353 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Tofas SK Bursa wins · Tofas SK Bursa | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 116 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Balkan Botevgrad wins · Balkan Botevgrad | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 100 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| BC Aris Thessaloniki wins · BC Aris Thessaloniki | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 65 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Slask Wroclaw wins · Slask Wroclaw | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 24 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| U-BT Cluj-Napoca wins · U-BT Cluj-Napoca | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 10 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| Hapoel Jerusalem wins · Hapoel Jerusalem | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 5 | Nov 13, 18:30 UTC |
| Turk Telekom wins · Turk Telekom | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 4 | Nov 12, 17:00 UTC |
| JL Bourg Basket wins · JL Bourg Basket | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 3 | Nov 12, 18:30 UTC |
| Basquet Manresa wins · Basquet Manresa | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 2 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Fraport Skyliners wins · Fraport Skyliners | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:00 UTC |
| Maxima Roma wins · Maxima Roma | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:00 UTC |
| CB San Pablo Burgos wins · CB San Pablo Burgos | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Le Mans Sarthe Basket wins · Le Mans Sarthe Basket | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Ulm Basketball wins · Ulm Basketball | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| BC Roma Spqr wins · BC Roma Spqr | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Derthona Basket wins · Derthona Basket | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:30 UTC |
| Rigas Zelli wins · Rigas Zelli | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Napoli Basket wins · Napoli Basket | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Niners Chemnitz wins · Niners Chemnitz | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| BC Siauliai wins · BC Siauliai | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| CB 1939 Canarias wins · CB 1939 Canarias | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:30 UTC |
| BC Lietkabelis Panevezys wins · BC Lietkabelis Panevezys | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Bahcesehir Koleji wins · Bahcesehir Koleji | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Reyer Venezia wins · Reyer Venezia | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| London Lions wins · London Lions | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo wins · KK Bosna Royal Sarajevo | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| Rostock Seawolves wins · Rostock Seawolves | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana wins · KK Cedevita Olimpija Ljubljana | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Aquila Basket Trento wins · Aquila Basket Trento | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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