Markets › Kalshi › Crypto
Ethereum range on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EST is above 2859.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 390 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,120 to 2,159.99 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 432 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,200 to 2,239.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 357 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,110 to 2,114.99 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 116 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,240 to 2,279.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 30 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,115 to 2,119.99 | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 26 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,105 to 2,109.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 21 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,040 to 2,079.99 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 13 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,100 to 2,104.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 12 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,120 to 2,124.99 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 10 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,095 to 2,099.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 3 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,125 to 2,129.99 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 1 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,860 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,339.99 or below | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,820 to 2,859.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,780 to 2,819.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,740 to 2,779.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,700 to 2,739.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,660 to 2,699.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,620 to 2,659.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,580 to 2,619.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,540 to 2,579.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,500 to 2,539.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,460 to 2,499.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,420 to 2,459.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,380 to 2,419.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,340 to 2,379.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,300 to 2,339.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,260 to 2,299.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,220 to 2,259.99 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,180 to 2,219.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,140 to 2,179.99 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,100 to 2,139.99 | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,060 to 2,099.99 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,020 to 2,059.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,980 to 2,019.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,940 to 1,979.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,900 to 1,939.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,860 to 1,899.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,820 to 1,859.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,780 to 1,819.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 390 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.