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Ethereum range on Kalshi

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EST is above 2859.99 at 5 PM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: CF Benchmarks.

Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 390 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,120 to 2,159.9914¢14%0.8¢—27%432Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,200 to 2,239.998¢8%0.5¢—15%357Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,110 to 2,114.9914¢14%0.8¢—27%116Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,240 to 2,279.996¢6%0.4¢—12%30Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,115 to 2,119.9933¢33%1.5¢—66%26Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,105 to 2,109.992¢2%0.2¢—5%21Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,040 to 2,079.9912¢12%0.7¢—24%13Nov 13, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,100 to 2,104.992¢2%0.1¢—4%12Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,120 to 2,124.9932¢32%1.5¢—65%10Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,095 to 2,099.9910¢10%0.6¢—19%3Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $2,125 to 2,129.9914¢14%0.8¢—27%1Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,860 or above0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,339.99 or below0¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,820 to 2,859.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,780 to 2,819.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,740 to 2,779.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,700 to 2,739.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,660 to 2,699.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,620 to 2,659.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,580 to 2,619.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,540 to 2,579.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,500 to 2,539.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,460 to 2,499.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,420 to 2,459.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,380 to 2,419.991¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,340 to 2,379.991¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,300 to 2,339.991¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,260 to 2,299.992¢2%0.2¢—5%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,220 to 2,259.993¢3%0.2¢—6%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,180 to 2,219.998¢8%0.5¢—15%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,140 to 2,179.9922¢22%1.2¢—44%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,100 to 2,139.9934¢34%1.6¢—67%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,060 to 2,099.9920¢20%1.1¢—41%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $2,020 to 2,059.998¢8%0.5¢—17%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,980 to 2,019.994¢4%0.2¢—7%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,940 to 1,979.992¢2%0.1¢—4%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,900 to 1,939.991¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,860 to 1,899.991¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,820 to 1,859.991¢1%0.1¢—2%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Ethereum price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1,780 to 1,819.990¢0%0.0¢—1%0Nov 10, 22:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 390 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.