What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 50¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.77.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 51% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 50%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Eredivisie Vrouwen Game on Kalshi

If Tie is the result of the ADO Den Haag vs de Graafschap professional Eredivisie Vrouwen soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

50%

Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

99% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
49¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.79	50.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Tie is the result · Tie	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 17, 11:15 UTC
de Graafschap wins · de Graafschap	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 17, 11:15 UTC
ADO Den Haag wins · ADO Den Haag	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 17, 11:15 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Alkmaar wins · Alkmaar	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Ajax wins · Ajax	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Twente wins · Twente	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Eindhoven wins · Eindhoven	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
PEC Zwolle wins · PEC Zwolle	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
FC Utrecht wins · FC Utrecht	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Tie is the result · Tie	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Heerenveen wins · Heerenveen	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC
Feyenoord Rotterdam wins · Feyenoord Rotterdam	50¢	50%	1.7¢	—	99%	Nov 17, 15:45 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.