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EPL Top Finishers on Kalshi
If Tottenham is a top 6 finisher in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
14%
Median YES price across 80 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
28% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14¢ (now) | 0.8¢ | $3.01 | 14.8% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Tottenham | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 74,499 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester United | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 49,803 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Tottenham finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Tottenham | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 47,929 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester City | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 45,836 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Chelsea | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 45,604 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Newcastle United | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 26,550 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 2 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester City | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 23,479 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Newcastle United | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 21,200 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Brighton | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 18,322 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Liverpool | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 16,142 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Aston Villa | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 15,342 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Hull City finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Hull City | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 14,655 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 2 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Chelsea | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 14,521 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal finish in the top 2 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Arsenal | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 13,826 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Aston Villa | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 12,191 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Bournemouth | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 10,061 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Hull City finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Hull City | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 9,140 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Tottenham finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Tottenham | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 7,612 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester City | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 7,439 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester United | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 6,522 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Leeds United finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Leeds United | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 6,489 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester City | 62¢ | 62% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 6,219 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Aston Villa | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 5,624 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Fulham finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Fulham | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 5,545 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Everton finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Everton | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5,497 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brentford finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Brentford | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 5,160 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Brighton | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 5,057 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 2 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester United | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 5,010 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Arsenal | 95¢ | 95% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 4,377 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brentford finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Brentford | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 3,758 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Everton finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Everton | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 3,328 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Manchester United | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 3,190 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Newcastle United | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 3,169 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brentford finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Brentford | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 3,152 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Liverpool finish in the top 2 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Liverpool | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 3,053 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Nottingham Forest | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 2,941 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Arsenal | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 2,745 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 6 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Nottingham Forest | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 2,417 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Coventry City finish in the top 4 in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Coventry City | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 2,158 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton finish in the top half in the 2026-27 EPL season? · Brighton | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,743 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 80 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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