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EPL Last Place Finisher on Kalshi
If Tottenham finishes in last place in the league table in the 2026-27 EPL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sky Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
29%
Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
58% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29¢ (now) | 1.4¢ | $2.49 | 30.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Hull City | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 3,035 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester City finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Manchester City | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 1,895 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Coventry City finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Coventry City | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 1,769 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Crystal Palace finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Crystal Palace | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 57 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Fulham finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Fulham | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 20 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Tottenham finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Tottenham | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 12 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Aston Villa finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Aston Villa | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 4 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Liverpool finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Liverpool | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 2 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Sunderland finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Sunderland | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Nottingham Forest | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Ipswich Town finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Ipswich Town | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Everton finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Everton | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Chelsea finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Chelsea | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Bournemouth finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Bournemouth | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 1 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Arsenal finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Arsenal | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Newcastle United finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Newcastle United | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Manchester United finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Manchester United | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Leeds United finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Leeds United | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brighton finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Brighton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
| Will Brentford finish in last place in the EPL 2026-27 season? · Brentford | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Jun 14, 02:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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