Markets › Kalshi › Politics
Abdul El-Sayed's Senate committee assignments on Kalshi
If Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Veterans' Affairs for the 120th Congress after Issuance and before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: United States Senate, ABC, Fox News, MSNBC, BBC, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Information, CBS, NBC, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, Politico, Bloomberg News, the Associated Press, Reuters, the New York Times.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Veterans' Affairs for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Veterans' Affairs | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Small Business and Entrepreneurship for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Small Business | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on the Judiciary for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Judiciary | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Homeland Security | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Health, Education, Labor, and Pensions for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · HELP | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Foreign Relations for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Foreign Relations | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Finance for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Finance | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Environment and Public Works | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Energy | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Commerce | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Banking | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Armed Services for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Armed Services | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Appropriations for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Appropriations | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Committee on Agriculture, Nutrition, and Forestry for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Agriculture | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by the United States Senate or any other Source Agency that Abdul El-Sayed is assigned to the Senate Special Committee on Aging for the 120th Congress before Mar 1, 2027? · Aging | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Mar 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.