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ELH Game on Kalshi
If HC Sparta Praha wins the HC Sparta Praha vs HC Energie Karlovy Vary professional Czech Extraliga hockey game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Czech Extraliga, Flashscore, Sofascore.
Market says (typical open contract)
52%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
97% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 52¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.68 | 53.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HC Sparta Praha wins · HC Sparta Praha | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Energie Karlovy Vary wins · HC Energie Karlovy Vary | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Pardubice wins · HC Pardubice | 71¢ | 71% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Kometa Brno wins · HC Kometa Brno | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Rytiri Kladno wins · HC Rytiri Kladno | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Olomouc wins · HC Olomouc | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| Mountfield HK wins · Mountfield HK | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Skoda Plzen wins · HC Skoda Plzen | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 15, 17:00 UTC |
| HC Vitkovice wins · HC Vitkovice | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 0 | Nov 15, 16:30 UTC |
| BK Mlada Boleslav wins · BK Mlada Boleslav | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 92% | 0 | Nov 15, 16:30 UTC |
| HC Verva Litvinov wins · HC Verva Litvinov | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 15, 16:30 UTC |
| Ceske Budejovice wins · Ceske Budejovice | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 15, 16:30 UTC |
| HC Ocelari Trinec wins · HC Ocelari Trinec | 67¢ | 67% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 15, 16:00 UTC |
| Bili Tygri Liberec wins · Bili Tygri Liberec | 33¢ | 33% | 1.5¢ | — | 66% | 0 | Nov 15, 16:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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