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Consumer Electronics Ad Spend on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Consumer Electronics Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 99 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
82%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
36% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 82¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $0.63 | 83.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 59 ? · Above 59 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6,117 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 77.5 ? · Above 77.5 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,678 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 141.5 ? · Above 141.5 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 2,199 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 124.5 ? · Above 124.5 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 2,066 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 186 ? · Above 186 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 627 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 99 ? · Above 99 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 88 ? · Above 88 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Consumer Electronics Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 111 ? · Above 111 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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