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Ekstraklasa Champion on Kalshi
If Zaglebie Lubin is the 2026-27 Ekstraklasa Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
5%
Median YES price across 18 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
10% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.33 | 5.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gornik Zabrze win the Ekstraklasa? · Gornik Zabrze | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 659 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Zaglebie Lubin win the Ekstraklasa? · Zaglebie Lubin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Wieczysta Krakow win the Ekstraklasa? · Wieczysta Krakow | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Slask Wroclaw win the Ekstraklasa? · Slask Wroclaw | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Radomiak Radom win the Ekstraklasa? · Radomiak Radom | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Motor Lublin win the Ekstraklasa? · Motor Lublin | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Korona Kielce win the Ekstraklasa? · Korona Kielce | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Czestochowa win the Ekstraklasa? · Czestochowa | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Cracovia Krakow win the Ekstraklasa? · Cracovia Krakow | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 500 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Wisla Plock win the Ekstraklasa? · Wisla Plock | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 100 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Gliwice win the Ekstraklasa? · Gliwice | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 100 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Katowice win the Ekstraklasa? · Katowice | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 100 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Widzew Lodz win the Ekstraklasa? · Widzew Lodz | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 0 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Wisla Krakow win the Ekstraklasa? · Wisla Krakow | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Pogon Szczecin win the Ekstraklasa? · Pogon Szczecin | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lech Poznan win the Ekstraklasa? · Lech Poznan | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 90% | 0 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Legia Warszawa win the Ekstraklasa? · Legia Warszawa | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Jagiellonia win the Ekstraklasa? · Jagiellonia | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jun 05, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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