What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

EFL Championship League Winner on Kalshi

If Wrexham is the 2026-27 EFL Championship Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 24 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will West Ham win the EFL Championship? · West Ham	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	35%	10,525	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Middlesbrough win the EFL Championship? · Middlesbrough	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	3,950	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Swansea win the EFL Championship? · Swansea	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	3,938	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Wolverhampton win the EFL Championship? · Wolverhampton	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	3,840	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Millwall win the EFL Championship? · Millwall	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,652	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Wrexham win the EFL Championship? · Wrexham	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	3,557	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Southampton win the EFL Championship? · Southampton	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	19%	2,939	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will West Bromwich win the EFL Championship? · West Bromwich	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	2,740	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Norwich win the EFL Championship? · Norwich	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,496	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Watford win the EFL Championship? · Watford	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,282	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Charlton win the EFL Championship? · Charlton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,117	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Burnley win the EFL Championship? · Burnley	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,110	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Sheffield United win the EFL Championship? · Sheffield United	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,925	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Portsmouth win the EFL Championship? · Portsmouth	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,720	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will QPR win the EFL Championship? · QPR	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,676	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Birmingham win the EFL Championship? · Birmingham	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,602	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Stoke win the EFL Championship? · Stoke	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,372	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Lincoln win the EFL Championship? · Lincoln	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,350	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Preston win the EFL Championship? · Preston	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,314	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Bolton win the EFL Championship? · Bolton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Derby win the EFL Championship? · Derby	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Cardiff win the EFL Championship? · Cardiff	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Bristol City win the EFL Championship? · Bristol City	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	May 15, 18:00 UTC
Will Blackburn win the EFL Championship? · Blackburn	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,300	May 15, 18:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.