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Ecuador Liga Pro on Kalshi
If CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador is the 2026 Ecuador LigaPro champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
24% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.08 | 12.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CSD Independiente del Valle win the Ecuador LigaPro? · CSD Independiente del Valle | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 1,146 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Barcelona SC win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Barcelona SC | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 802 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will LDU Quito win the Ecuador LigaPro? · LDU Quito | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 732 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Manta FC win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Manta FC | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 138 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CS Emelec win the Ecuador LigaPro? · CS Emelec | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 53 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CD Tecnico Universitario win the Ecuador LigaPro? · CD Tecnico Universitario | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 52 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will SD Aucas win the Ecuador LigaPro? · SD Aucas | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 51 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Delfin SC win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Delfin SC | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 31 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win the Ecuador LigaPro? · CD Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 10 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CSD Macara win the Ecuador LigaPro? · CSD Macara | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 9 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will CD Cuenca win the Ecuador LigaPro? · CD Cuenca | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 4 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Orense SC win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Orense SC | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mushuc Runa SC win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Mushuc Runa SC | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 0 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Libertad Loja win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Libertad Loja | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Leones Futbol Club win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Leones Futbol Club | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Guayaquil City FC win the Ecuador LigaPro? · Guayaquil City FC | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | Jan 13, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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