Markets › Kalshi › Sports
eBasketball Game on Kalshi
If Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) wins the Denver Nuggets (Jalen) vs Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) professional Valhalla League 2026 Week #46 eBasketball game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 at 12:50 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: DRAFTED.GG.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) wins · Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 836 | Nov 24, 04:26 UTC |
| Indiana Pacers (Tatum) wins · Indiana Pacers (Tatum) | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 99 | Nov 24, 04:26 UTC |
| New Orleans Pelicans (Tyler) wins · New Orleans Pelicans (Tyler) | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 68 | Nov 24, 04:26 UTC |
| Denver Nuggets (Jalen) wins · Denver Nuggets (Jalen) | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 42 | Nov 24, 04:26 UTC |
| Denver Nuggets (Devin) wins · Denver Nuggets (Devin) | 83¢ | 83% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 5 | Nov 24, 04:54 UTC |
| Indiana Pacers (Tatum) wins · Indiana Pacers (Tatum) | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 3 | Nov 24, 04:54 UTC |
| New Orleans Pelicans (Larry) wins · New Orleans Pelicans (Larry) | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 2 | Nov 24, 05:22 UTC |
| Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) wins · Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:50 UTC |
| Denver Nuggets (Jalen) wins · Denver Nuggets (Jalen) | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:50 UTC |
| New Orleans Pelicans (Tyler) wins · New Orleans Pelicans (Tyler) | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:50 UTC |
| Indiana Pacers (Tatum) wins · Indiana Pacers (Tatum) | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:50 UTC |
| Dallas Mavericks (Jalen) wins · Dallas Mavericks (Jalen) | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:22 UTC |
| Denver Nuggets (Devin) wins · Denver Nuggets (Devin) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:22 UTC |
| Indiana Pacers (Tyler) wins · Indiana Pacers (Tyler) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 0 | Nov 24, 05:22 UTC |
| Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) wins · Dallas Mavericks (Jimmy) | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 0 | Nov 24, 04:54 UTC |
| New Orleans Pelicans (Larry) wins · New Orleans Pelicans (Larry) | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 24, 04:54 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.