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Klarna Earnings Call on Kalshi
If Walmart is said by any Klarna Group plc representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Klarna Group plc live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Klarna Group plc Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
42%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
83% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 42¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $2.03 | 43.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Delinquency | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 3,198 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · JP Morgan Payment | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 289 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Credit Quality | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 250 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Inflation | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 206 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Banking License | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 191 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Apple Pay | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 157 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · PriceRunner | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 149 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · AI / Artificial Intelligence | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 61 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Walmart | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 56 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Southwest Airlines | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 18 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Profitability | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 14 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Sweden | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Tailwind | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 0 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Headcount | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 0 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Headwind | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 0 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
| What will Klarna Group plc say during their next earnings call? · Gemini | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Feb 15, 13:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.