What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 72¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.98.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 73% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 72%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Mentions

HILTON on Kalshi

If Spark is said by any Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. Investor Events.

Market says (typical open contract)

72%

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

56% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
72¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.98	73.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Spark	81¢	81%	1.1¢	—	38%	47	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · AI / Artificial Intelligence (3+ times)	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	17%	21	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · India	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	44%	7	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Graduate / Undergraduate	35¢	35%	1.6¢	—	70%	5	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Scandic	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · RISE	75¢	75%	1.3¢	—	49%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Navan	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · LivSmart	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · ICE / Border	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Honor	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC
What will Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. say during their next earnings call? · Competition	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	56%	0	May 11, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.