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Futu Earnings Call on Kalshi
If Tokenized / Tokenization is said by any Futu Holdings Limited representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Futu Holdings Limited live earnings call or official broadcast (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Futu Holdings Limited Investor Events.
Market says (typical open contract)
22%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
45% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $2.70 | 24.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · PantherTrade | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 240 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · CFTC | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 191 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Kalshi | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 135 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Headwind | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 108 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Tailwind | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 100 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Perp / Perpetual | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 56 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Fraud | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 56 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Tokenized / Tokenization | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 40 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Australia | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 15 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Staking | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 1 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
| What will Futu Holdings Limited say during their next earnings call? · Agentic | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 0 | Feb 15, 12:30 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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