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who will finish top 3 in dwts on Kalshi
If Tatyana Ali finishes in the Top 3 in Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NBC, BBC, Peacock, itv, Hulu.
Market says (typical open contract)
46%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
93% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 46¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.89 | 47.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ezra Frech finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Ezra Frech | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 62,324 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Connor Wood finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Connor Wood | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 41,621 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amber Glenn finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Amber Glenn | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 35,048 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jenna Dewan finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Jenna Dewan | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 33,488 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maura Higgins finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Maura Higgins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 30,789 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tatyana Ali finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Tatyana Ali | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 27,551 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. finish in the Top 3 on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Harry Shum Jr. | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 19,398 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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