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what rank participant finish on Kalshi
If Tyler Cameron finishes 3rd in Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NBC, BBC, Peacock, itv, Hulu.
Market says (typical open contract)
12%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
23% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $3.12 | 11.7% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amber Glenn finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Amber Glenn | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 51,338 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ezra Frech finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Ezra Frech | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 50,683 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maura Higgins finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Maura Higgins | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 32,904 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Harry Shum Jr. | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 27,263 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Connor Wood finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Connor Wood | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 27,170 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Harry Shum Jr. | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 24,445 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Connor Wood finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Connor Wood | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 23,527 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maura Higgins finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Maura Higgins | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 23,366 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tatyana Ali finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Tatyana Ali | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 23,091 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jenna Dewan finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Jenna Dewan | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 22,794 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ezra Frech finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Ezra Frech | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 21,692 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amber Glenn finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Amber Glenn | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 21,418 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jenna Dewan finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Jenna Dewan | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 19,267 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyler Cameron finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Tyler Cameron | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 16,961 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tatyana Ali finish 2nd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Tatyana Ali | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 13,341 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jackson Olson finish 3rd Place on Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Jackson Olson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,468 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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