Markets › Kalshi › Elections
Democratic Presidential ticket on Kalshi
If the Democratic presidential nominee is Jon Ossoff AND the Democratic vice presidential nominee is Wes Moore in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Republican Party, Democratic Party.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
4% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.43 | 2.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 23,383 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Jon Ossoff and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 16,559 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 8,263 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Jon Ossoff and Andy Beshear | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 7,428 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ruben Gallego | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,994 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Jon Ossoff and Gretchen Whitmer | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4,219 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Jon Ossoff | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 3,790 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Jon Ossoff and Pete Buttigieg | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 3,320 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Kamala Harris and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,019 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Andy Beshear | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,602 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Pete Buttigieg | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,558 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Mark Kelly | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,244 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Ruben Gallego | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,101 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 827 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Pete Buttigieg and Gretchen Whitmer | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 650 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Mark Kelly | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 540 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Wes Moore | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 500 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Andy Beshear | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 413 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 373 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jon Ossoff and Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Jon Ossoff and Wes Moore | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 363 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 354 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and James Talarico be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and James Talarico | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 255 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Wes Moore | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 176 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Josh Shapiro and Gretchen Whitmer | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 61 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Gavin Newsom and Elissa Slotkin | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 21 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Kamala Harris and Gretchen Whitmer | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Presidential ticket? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Gretchen Whitmer | 1¢ | 1% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 07, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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