What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 57¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.50.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 59% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 57%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Dominos KPI on Kalshi

If Domino's Pizza reports above 7420 total US stores in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

57%

Median YES price across 22 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

86% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
57¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.51	58.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,270 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,270	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	3,381	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,420 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,420	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	1,554	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,330 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,330	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	41%	1,496	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,310 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,310	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	1,341	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,390 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,390	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	1,285	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,350 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,350	57¢	57%	1.7¢	—	86%	1,048	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,370 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,370	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	526	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 7,290 total US stores in Q1 2027? · Above 7,290	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	12%	276	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above -4% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -4%	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above -2% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -2%	87¢	87%	0.8¢	—	26%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above -1% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -1%	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	40%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above -0.5% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above -0.5%	77¢	77%	1.2¢	—	46%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 8% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 8%	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 0.5% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 0.5%	65¢	65%	1.6¢	—	70%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 5% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 5%	11¢	11%	0.7¢	—	22%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 4% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 4%	19¢	19%	1.1¢	—	38%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 3% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 3%	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 2.5% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 2.5%	33¢	33%	1.5¢	—	66%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 2% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 2%	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 1.5% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 1.5%	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 1% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 1%	57¢	57%	1.7¢	—	86%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC
Will Domino's Pizza report above 0% US same store sales growth in Q1 2027? · Above 0%	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	60%	0	Nov 28, 14:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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