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Dota 2 Game on Kalshi
If Xipto Esports wins the Asgard Championship 2026: Nemiga Gaming vs. Xipto Esports Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: BO3, Dota 2 , DLTV, Gamers World.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 54 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 17:55 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xipto Esports wins · Xipto Esports | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 91,387 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| PlayTime wins · PlayTime | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 86,600 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Power Rangers wins · Power Rangers | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 19,120 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| Froglings wins · Froglings | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 10,749 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| CyberHero wins · CyberHero | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 6,371 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| HULIGANI wins · HULIGANI | 73¢ | 73% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 2,668 | Nov 11, 16:00 UTC |
| InterActive Philippines wins · InterActive Philippines | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 2,317 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| CyberHero wins · CyberHero | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 985 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle wins · Inner Circle | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 693 | Nov 11, 16:00 UTC |
| rostikfacekid TEAM wins · rostikfacekid TEAM | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 431 | Nov 12, 15:30 UTC |
| Zero Tenacity wins · Zero Tenacity | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 259 | Nov 13, 10:00 UTC |
| Spirit Academy wins · Spirit Academy | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 215 | Nov 13, 10:00 UTC |
| Nemiga Gaming wins · Nemiga Gaming | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 198 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| iLTW TEAM wins · iLTW TEAM | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 189 | Nov 12, 15:30 UTC |
| Power Rangers wins · Power Rangers | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 182 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Zero Tenacity wins · Zero Tenacity | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 164 | Nov 12, 13:00 UTC |
| Mena Warriors wins · Mena Warriors | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 92 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| PuckChamp wins · PuckChamp | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 89 | Nov 13, 10:00 UTC |
| Rottweilas Latam wins · Rottweilas Latam | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 63 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| PlayTime wins · PlayTime | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 24 | Nov 13, 10:00 UTC |
| InterActive Philippines wins · InterActive Philippines | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 20 | Nov 13, 10:00 UTC |
| InterActive Philippines wins · InterActive Philippines | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 19 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| PuckChamp wins · PuckChamp | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 18 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| HULIGANI wins · HULIGANI | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 16 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| potn9ki wins · potn9ki | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 13 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins · Xipto Esports | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 9 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins · Xipto Esports | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 4 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Xipto Esports wins · Xipto Esports | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:00 UTC |
| Nemiga Gaming wins · Nemiga Gaming | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 0 | Nov 14, 19:00 UTC |
| Time to Sleep wins · Time to Sleep | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| CyberHero wins · CyberHero | 79¢ | 79% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Team Synapse wins · Team Synapse | 53¢ | 53% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Team Lynx wins · Team Lynx | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Inner Circle wins · Inner Circle | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Nov 13, 13:00 UTC |
| Power Rangers wins · Power Rangers | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| potn9ki wins · potn9ki | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Nemiga Gaming wins · Nemiga Gaming | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Froglings wins · Froglings | 63¢ | 63% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 0 | Nov 13, 19:00 UTC |
| Froglings wins · Froglings | 69¢ | 69% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
| Zenith wins · Zenith | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 0 | Nov 13, 16:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 54 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.