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WILL MR BEAST DONATE on Kalshi

If MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls announces they will donate or donates to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs, ECU-affiliated NIL collectives, NIL athlete pools designated for East Carolina University student-athletes, and university-recognized NIL entities tied to East Carolina University, before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ABC, Axios, Bloomberg News, CBS, CNN, Forbes, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC, person, Politico, Reuters, SEC filings, Semafor, the Associated Press, The Information, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post.

Market says (typical open contract)
9%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
18% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
9¢ (now)0.6¢$3.199.6%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year? · MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson), including entities he controls9¢9%0.6¢—18%2,727Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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