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Trump National Golf Club visits on Kalshi
If Donald Trump makes exactly 7 or more trips to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: person, official schedules of the President, ABC, releases and public statements of White House, Fox News, The Information, The Wall Street Journal, Semafor, The Guardian, Bloomberg News, White House pool reports, CBS, NBC, official representatives or offices of person, official government sources of place, Axios, BBC, The Washington Post, official social media accounts of person or their official representatives, CNN, the White House, The New York Times, Politico, MSNBC, the Associated Press, Reuters.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 0 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 1,581 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 2 | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 524 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 1 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 521 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 7 or more | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 6 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 5 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 4 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
| How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. in Nov 2026? · 3 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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