What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 96¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.12.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 97% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 96%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Which data center ballot measures will pass? on Kalshi

If the Trenton, Ohio Issue 17 passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Will County Clerk, Illinois, Rock County Clerk, Wisconsin, Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk, California, Clark County Elections Department, Nevada, Franklin County Board of Elections, Ohio, Butler County Clerk, Kansas, Miami County Board of Elections, Ohio, Butler County Board of Elections, Ohio, Pickaway County Board of Elections, Ohio, Lyon County Election Office, Kansas.

Market says (typical open contract)

96%

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

7% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
96¢ (now)	0.3¢	$0.14	96.3%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the Trenton, Ohio Issue 17 pass? · Trenton, Ohio Issue 17	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	3,307	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Boulder City, Nevada Question 1 pass? · Boulder City, Nevada Question 1	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	2,575	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum pass? · Janesville, Wisconsin GM/JATCO referendum	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,901	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Emporia, Kansas Question 2 pass? · Emporia, Kansas Question 2	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,813	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Alhambra, California Measure DB pass? · Alhambra, California Measure DB	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	1,645	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Piqua, Ohio Section 138 amendment pass? · Piqua, Ohio Section 138 amendment	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,550	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Grove City, Ohio Issue 28 pass? · Grove City, Ohio Issue 28	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,302	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Ashville, Ohio EdgeConneX referendum pass? · Ashville, Ohio EdgeConneX referendum	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	1,245	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the Joliet Township, Illinois advisory question pass? · Joliet Township, Illinois advisory question	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	9%	753	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC
Will the El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance pass? · El Dorado, Kansas data center ordinance	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	420	Nov 03, 03:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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