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DoorDash app downloads on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc DoorDash app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 91.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
57%
Median YES price across 14 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
86% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 57¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.51 | 58.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 117 ? · Above 117 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 1,527 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 99 ? · Above 99 | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 1,384 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 91.5 ? · Above 91.5 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,243 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 109.5 ? · Above 109.5 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 1,060 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 102.5 ? · Above 102.5 | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 847 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 101.5 ? · Above 101.5 | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 684 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 107 ? · Above 107 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 601 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 96.5 ? · Above 96.5 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 247 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 94 ? · Above 94 | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 200 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 114.5 ? · Above 114.5 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 200 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 106 ? · Above 106 | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 200 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 112 ? · Above 112 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 196 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 103.5 ? · Above 103.5 | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 116 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will DoorDash app downloads for November 2026 be above 104.5 ? · Above 104.5 | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 26 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.