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Who will win dancing with the stars? on Kalshi
If Tatyana Ali is officially declared the winner of Dancing with the Stars Season 35, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the official broadcaster or streaming platform of <competition> (e, The Source Agencies are, in hierarchical order.
Market says (typical open contract)
8%
Median YES price across 7 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
17% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.22 | 8.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ezra Frech win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Ezra Frech | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 728,014 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Maura Higgins win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Maura Higgins | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 678,067 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Connor Wood win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Connor Wood | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 620,334 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amber Glenn win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Amber Glenn | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 593,100 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Harry Shum Jr. | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 590,587 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jenna Dewan win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Jenna Dewan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 453,352 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tatyana Ali win Dancing with the Stars Season 35? · Tatyana Ali | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 204,791 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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