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Counter-Strike 2 Game on Kalshi
If RoundsGG wins the Elisa Open Suomi 2026: RoundsGG vs. Nordic Valor CS2 match originally scheduled for Nov 12, 2026 at 1:00 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: B03, HLTV, Gamers World.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 126 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FUT Esports wins · FUT Esports | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 45,941 | Nov 13, 07:00 UTC |
| MOUZ wins · MOUZ | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 15,793 | Nov 13, 09:30 UTC |
| Brute wins · Brute | 68¢ | 68% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 12,995 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| ILLYRIANS wins · ILLYRIANS | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 10,937 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| BakS eSports wins · BakS eSports | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,589 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| Team Falcons wins · Team Falcons | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 2,297 | Nov 13, 04:30 UTC |
| Bad Beavers wins · Bad Beavers | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 2,251 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| DimoniX Esports wins · DimoniX Esports | 78¢ | 78% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 2,018 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| NAVI Junior wins · NAVI Junior | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 2,002 | Nov 11, 11:30 UTC |
| FURIA wins · FURIA | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 1,982 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| G2 wins · G2 | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,966 | Nov 13, 09:30 UTC |
| Copenhagen Wolves wins · Copenhagen Wolves | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 1,947 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| ILLYRIANS wins · ILLYRIANS | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 1,794 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| FORZE Reload wins · FORZE Reload | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 1,612 | Nov 12, 11:30 UTC |
| ex-Zero Tenacity wins · ex-Zero Tenacity | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 1,396 | Nov 12, 12:00 UTC |
| FORZE Reload wins · FORZE Reload | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 1,298 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Legacy wins · Legacy | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 1,287 | Nov 13, 02:00 UTC |
| The Chosen Few wins · The Chosen Few | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 1,148 | Nov 12, 11:30 UTC |
| Passion Academy wins · Passion Academy | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 943 | Nov 12, 11:30 UTC |
| Vitality wins · Vitality | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 931 | Nov 13, 04:30 UTC |
| SANCTUM wins · SANCTUM | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 828 | Nov 11, 11:30 UTC |
| MEIA NOITE wins · MEIA NOITE | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 789 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| MOUZ NXT wins · MOUZ NXT | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 716 | Nov 12, 11:30 UTC |
| RED Canids Academy wins · RED Canids Academy | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 694 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| Isurus wins · Isurus | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 618 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
| KUUSAMO.gg wins · KUUSAMO.gg | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 554 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Azuolas wins · Azuolas | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 477 | Nov 12, 09:00 UTC |
| Spirit wins · Spirit | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 431 | Nov 13, 07:00 UTC |
| Spirit HU wins · Spirit HU | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 45% | 424 | Nov 12, 19:30 UTC |
| BORRACHEIROS wins · BORRACHEIROS | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 356 | Nov 12, 16:00 UTC |
| BoyBand wins · BoyBand | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 270 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| ex-RUSTEC wins · ex-RUSTEC | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 246 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| G2 Ares wins · G2 Ares | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 223 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Spirit Academy wins · Spirit Academy | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 171 | Nov 13, 18:00 UTC |
| Rush wins · Rush | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 137 | Nov 12, 22:00 UTC |
| BOJONG wins · BOJONG | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 67% | 135 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| maybe wins · maybe | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 105 | Nov 12, 15:00 UTC |
| Leo Team wins · Leo Team | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 93 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| GenOne wins · GenOne | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 87 | Nov 12, 18:00 UTC |
| Fire Flux Esports wins · Fire Flux Esports | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 84 | Nov 12, 19:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 126 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.