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Critics Choice Award for Best Supporting Actress on Kalshi
If Amanda Seyfried has won Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Anne Hathaway | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 4,814 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Samantha Morton win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Samantha Morton | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 3,540 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Merritt Wever win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Merritt Wever | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,183 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Olivia Colman win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Olivia Colman | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,166 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Penélope Cruz win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Penélope Cruz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,017 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kate O’Flynn win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Kate O’Flynn | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 956 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sandra Hüller | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 912 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wunmi Mosaku | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sophie Okonedo win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Sophie Okonedo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Scarlett Johansson win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Scarlett Johansson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mariana Di Girolamo win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Mariana Di Girolamo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Gemma Chan win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Gemma Chan | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Elizabeth Debicki win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Elizabeth Debicki | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Colleen Camp win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Colleen Camp | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alice Bailey Johnson win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Alice Bailey Johnson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 854 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Amanda Seyfried | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 680 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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