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Critics Choice Award for Best Hair and Makeup on Kalshi

If Wicker has won Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)0.1¢$3.471.1%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Werwulf win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Werwulf38¢38%1.6¢—76%8,225Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Odyssey win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Odyssey17¢17%1.0¢—34%7,299Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wicker win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wicker8¢8%0.5¢—17%2,808Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Clayface win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Clayface2¢2%0.1¢—4%2,099Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dune: Part Three3¢3%0.2¢—6%2,085Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Rose win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Rose0¢0%0.0¢—1%1,825Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will La Bola Negra win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · La Bola Negra2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,694Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Digger win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Digger9¢9%0.6¢—18%1,667Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Michael win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Michael2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Elsinore win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Elsinore2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ebenezer: A Christmas Carol2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Bride win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Bride2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Is God Is win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Is God Is2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will I Play Rocky win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · I Play Rocky2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,648Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Hair and Makeup at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie2¢2%0.1¢—3%1,629Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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