Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
Critics Choice Award for Best TV Drama on Kalshi
If Your Friends & Neighbors has won Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
3%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Pitt win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Pitt | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 1,000 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Your Friends & Neighbors win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Your Friends & Neighbors | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Vampire Lestat win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Vampire Lestat | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Slow Horses win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Slow Horses | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Silo win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Silo | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Paradise win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Paradise | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Industry win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Industry | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will House of the Dragon win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · House of the Dragon | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will From win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · From | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will For All Mankind win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · For All Mankind | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Euphoria win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Euphoria | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Diplomat win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Diplomat | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dark Winds win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dark Winds | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bridgerton win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Bridgerton | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms win Best Drama Series at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.