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Critics Choice Award for Best Comedy on Kalshi
If Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie has won Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.
Market says (typical open contract)
2%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
3% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Sheep Detectives win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Sheep Detectives | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 17,858 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Focker-in-Law win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Focker-in-Law | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 14,321 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will I Love Boosters win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · I Love Boosters | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 13,669 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 13,319 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Digger win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Digger | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 10,747 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Gallerist win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Gallerist | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,380 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Drama win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Drama | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 9,228 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 7,453 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Club Kid win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Club Kid | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,416 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Coyote vs. Acme win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Coyote vs. Acme | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 6,406 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Devil Wears Prada 2 win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Devil Wears Prada 2 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,212 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Invite win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Invite | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 4,544 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wild Horse Nine | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 3,869 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Debut win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Debut | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 3,571 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tie win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 3,446 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Project Hail Mary win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Project Hail Mary | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 676 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie win Best Comedy at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 631 | Jan 03, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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