What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Critics Choice Award for Best Adapted Screenplay on Kalshi

If Wildwood has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Critics Choice Awards.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Odyssey	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	6,270	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Invite win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Invite	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	63%	4,791	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Dune: Part Three	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,687	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Tie win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Tie	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,908	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will La Bola Negra win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · La Bola Negra	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	85%	1,681	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,554	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Being Heumann win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Being Heumann	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,554	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Ink win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Ink	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,545	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Project Hail Mary	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,454	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Wildwood win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Wildwood	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,442	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will All of a Sudden win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · All of a Sudden	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,353	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will The Social Reckoning win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · The Social Reckoning	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,344	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Clarissa win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Clarissa	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,344	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Fatherland win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Fatherland	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,344	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Primetime win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Primetime	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,343	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC
Will Cry to Heaven win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards? · Cry to Heaven	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	1,140	Jan 03, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.