What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 98¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.07.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 98% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 98%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Economics

CPI-U index in [month] on Kalshi

If the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 is above 337.600, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: BLS - CPI-U.

Market says (typical open contract)

98%

Median YES price across 35 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
98¢ (now)	0.1¢	$0.07	98.1%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.300? · Above 336.300	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,126	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.300? · Above 335.300	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,292	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.600? · Above 336.600	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	7%	3,081	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.400? · Above 336.400	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	1,790	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.900? · Above 335.900	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	1,624	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.500? · Above 336.500	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,482	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.400? · Above 337.400	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	1,427	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.100? · Above 336.100	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	1,290	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.900? · Above 336.900	51¢	51%	1.7¢	—	98%	1,172	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.700? · Above 336.700	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	96%	1,118	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.300? · Above 337.300	20¢	20%	1.1¢	—	41%	1,074	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.200? · Above 337.200	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	58%	946	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.600? · Above 337.600	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	16%	935	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.000? · Above 337.000	43¢	43%	1.7¢	—	86%	891	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.800? · Above 335.800	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	842	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.100? · Above 337.100	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	73%	789	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.200? · Above 336.200	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	649	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.000? · Above 336.000	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	541	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 337.500? · Above 337.500	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	480	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.500? · Above 335.500	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	460	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.300? · Above 334.300	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	454	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.600? · Above 335.600	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	395	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 336.800? · Above 336.800	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	335	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.200? · Above 334.200	99¢	99%	0.1¢	—	2%	304	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.700? · Above 335.700	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	240	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.400? · Above 334.400	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	121	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.500? · Above 334.500	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	102	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.400? · Above 335.400	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	71	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.100? · Above 335.100	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	2	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.200? · Above 335.200	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 335.000? · Above 335.000	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.900? · Above 334.900	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.800? · Above 334.800	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.700? · Above 334.700	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC
Will Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for October 2026 be above 334.600? · Above 334.600	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 10, 13:29 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.