Markets › Kalshi › Commodities
Copper after economic events on Kalshi
If the close price of the one-minute candlestick for Copper (Commodities.Index.CU/USD), published by Pyth - Copper and ending at Dec 23, 2026 at 9:30am EST, is above $6.65 per pound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Pyth - Copper.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 169 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 23:27 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will copper be above $6.65 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.65 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.60 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.60 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.55 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.55 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.50 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.50 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.45 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.45 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.40 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.40 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.35 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.35 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.30 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.30 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.25 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.25 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.20 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.20 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.15 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.15 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.10 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.10 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.05 on Dec 2 at 9:15am ET? · Above $6.05 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 02, 14:15 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.65 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.65 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.60 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.60 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.55 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.55 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.50 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.50 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.45 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.45 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.40 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.40 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.35 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.35 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.30 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.30 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.25 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.25 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.20 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.20 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.15 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.15 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.10 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.10 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.05 on Dec 1 at 11:00am ET? · Above $6.05 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 01, 16:00 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.65 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.65 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.60 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.60 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.55 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.55 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.50 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.50 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.45 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.45 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.40 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.40 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.35 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.35 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.30 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.30 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.25 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.25 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.20 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.20 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.15 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.15 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.10 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.10 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $6.05 on Nov 13 at 9:30am ET? · Above $6.05 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 13, 14:30 UTC |
| Will copper be above $7.10 on Dec 10 at 9:30am ET? · Above $7.10 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Dec 10, 14:30 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 169 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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