Markets › Kalshi › Sports
CONCACAF Gold Cup on Kalshi
If Saint Vincent and the Grenadines is the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 23 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
36% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.87 | 19.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Mexico | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 3,932 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will USA win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · USA | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 422 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Haiti win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Haiti | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 107 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Canada win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Canada | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 42 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Honduras win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Honduras | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 32 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Saint Vincent and the Grenadines win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Saint Vincent and the Grenadines | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Trinidad and Tobago win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Trinidad and Tobago | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Suriname win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Suriname | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will El Salvador win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · El Salvador | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Panama win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Panama | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Nicaragua win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Nicaragua | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Martinique win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Martinique | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Saudi Arabia | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jamaica win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Jamaica | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Guyana win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Guyana | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Guatemala win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Guatemala | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Guadeloupe win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Guadeloupe | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Dominican Republic | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Curacao win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Curacao | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cuba win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Cuba | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bermuda win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Bermuda | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Belize win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Belize | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 8 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Costa Rica win the 2027 CONCACAF Gold Cup? · Costa Rica | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5 | Aug 15, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.