What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 48¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.84.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 49% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 48%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Science and Technology

DeepSWE Coding Rank on Kalshi

If MiMo is the Highest Ranked DeepSWE score model on Datacurve DeepSWE on Nov 30, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: DeepSWE.

Market says (typical open contract)

48%

Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

95% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
47¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.86	48.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · ChatGPT	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	10	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · Claude	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	4	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · MiMo	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · Kimi	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · Grok	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · GLM	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · Gemini	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	81%	0	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC
Top coding AI this month (DeepSWE)? · DeepSeek	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	0	Nov 30, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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