What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 6¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.29.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 6% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 6%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Club World Cup Host on Kalshi

If United States is announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Semafor, ABC, Bloomberg, NBC, The Washington Post, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Reuters, The Information, Politico, Axios, MSNBC, CNN, the New York Times, CBS.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

12% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)	0.4¢	$3.29	6.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Qatar be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Qatar	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	3,435	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Morocco be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Morocco	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	43%	1,753	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Spain or Portugal be announced as hosts for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Spain or Portugal	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	1,045	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will United States be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · United States	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	72%	681	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Mexico be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Mexico	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	342	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Brazil be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Brazil	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	80	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Australia or New Zealand be announced as hosts for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Australia or New Zealand	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	57	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Germany be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · Germany	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will England be announced as a host for the 2029 Men's FIFA Club World Cup? · England	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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