What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Chinese Super League on Kalshi

If Zhejiang FC is the 2026 Chinese Super League champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Chengdu Rongcheng win the Chinese Super League? · Chengdu Rongcheng	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,578	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win the Chinese Super League? · Dalian Yingbo FC	56¢	56%	1.7¢	—	87%	1,393	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Beijing Guoan win the Chinese Super League? · Beijing Guoan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	335	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Shanghai Port FC win the Chinese Super League? · Shanghai Port FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	55	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Shandong Taishan FC win the Chinese Super League? · Shandong Taishan FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	54	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Zhejiang FC win the Chinese Super League? · Zhejiang FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Yunnan Yukun win the Chinese Super League? · Yunnan Yukun	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Wuhan Three Towns FC win the Chinese Super League? · Wuhan Three Towns FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win the Chinese Super League? · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win the Chinese Super League? · Shanghai Shenhua FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Shenzhen Peng City win the Chinese Super League? · Shenzhen Peng City	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Qingdao West Coast FC win the Chinese Super League? · Qingdao West Coast FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win the Chinese Super League? · Qingdao Hainiu FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win the Chinese Super League? · Liaoning Tieren FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Henan win the Chinese Super League? · Henan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win the Chinese Super League? · Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	50	Nov 30, 02:58 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.