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Average U.S. wholesale chicken wing price on Kalshi
If the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 is above 95¢ per pound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: USDA.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 95¢ per pound? · Above 95¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 534 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 100¢ per pound? · Above 100¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 311 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 110¢ per pound? · Above 110¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 200 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 105¢ per pound? · Above 105¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 100 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 90¢ per pound? · Above 90¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 85¢ per pound? · Above 85¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 135¢ per pound? · Above 135¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 130¢ per pound? · Above 130¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 125¢ per pound? · Above 125¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 120¢ per pound? · Above 120¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
| Will the average U.S. wholesale price of whole chicken wings in November 2026 be above 115¢ per pound? · Above 115¢ per pound | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 27, 19:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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