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PGA Champions Tour on Kalshi
If Zach Johnson wins the Charles Schwab Cup Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, the Governing League.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 35 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Rory Sabbatini wins · Rory Sabbatini | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,936 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Ben Crane wins · Ben Crane | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,239 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Tommy Gainey wins · Tommy Gainey | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 848 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Stephen Allan wins · Stephen Allan | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 848 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Zach Johnson wins · Zach Johnson | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 39% | 779 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: David Toms wins · David Toms | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 748 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Dicky Pride wins · Dicky Pride | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 748 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Bo Van Pelt wins · Bo Van Pelt | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 748 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Padraig Harrington wins · Padraig Harrington | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 542 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Stewart Cink wins · Stewart Cink | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 414 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Steven Alker wins · Steven Alker | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 277 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Y.E. Yang wins · Y.E. Yang | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Vaughn Taylor wins · Vaughn Taylor | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Vijay Singh wins · Vijay Singh | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Tag Ridings wins · Tag Ridings | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Tim O'Neal wins · Tim O'Neal | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Thongchai Jaidee wins · Thongchai Jaidee | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Søren Kjeldsen wins · Søren Kjeldsen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Scott Hend wins · Scott Hend | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Stephen Ames wins · Stephen Ames | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Richard Green wins · Richard Green | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Retief Goosen wins · Retief Goosen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Ricardo Gonzalez wins · Ricardo Gonzalez | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Michael Wright wins · Michael Wright | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Miguel Angel Jimenez wins · Miguel Angel Jimenez | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Jerry Kelly wins · Jerry Kelly | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: George McNeill wins · George McNeill | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Freddie Jacobson wins · Freddie Jacobson | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Ernie Els wins · Ernie Els | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Darren Fichardt wins · Darren Fichardt | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Darren Clarke wins · Darren Clarke | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Charlie Wi wins · Charlie Wi | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Cameron Percy wins · Cameron Percy | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Boo Weekley wins · Boo Weekley | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
| Charles Schwab Cup Championship: Alex Cejka wins · Alex Cejka | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Nov 29, 00:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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