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Broadcom CEO leaving on Kalshi

If the CEO of Broadcom Inc has announced, or it has been announced on their behalf, that they have left their position as CEO after issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Bloomberg.

Market says (typical open contract)
22%
Median YES price across 3 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
45% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
23¢ (now)1.2¢$2.7024.2%
30¢1.5¢$2.4531.5%
50¢1.8¢$1.7551.7%
70¢1.5¢$1.0571.5%
90¢0.6¢$0.3590.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Will Hock Tan leave as Broadcom CEO before Jan 1, 2033? · Before Jan 1, 203350¢50%1.7¢—99%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Hock Tan leave as Broadcom CEO before Jan 1, 2031? · Before Jan 1, 203122¢22%1.2¢—45%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC
Will Hock Tan leave as Broadcom CEO before Jan 1, 2029? · Before Jan 1, 20298¢8%0.5¢—17%0Jan 01, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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