Markets › Kalshi › Economics
Bank Indonesia rate decision on Kalshi
If Bank Indonesia takes the action of maintain current rate at its November Board of Governors Meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Bank Indonesia, Trading Economics.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 5 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
13% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bank Indonesia cut 1-25bps at the November Board of Governors Meeting? · Cut 1-25bps | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,109 | Nov 18, 08:29 UTC |
| Will Bank Indonesia cut more than 25bps at the November Board of Governors Meeting? · Cut more than 25bps | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 310 | Nov 18, 08:29 UTC |
| Will Bank Indonesia hike 1-25bps at the November Board of Governors Meeting? · Hike 1-25bps | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 109 | Nov 18, 08:29 UTC |
| Will Bank Indonesia hike more than 25bps at the November Board of Governors Meeting? · Hike more than 25bps | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 100 | Nov 18, 08:29 UTC |
| Will Bank Indonesia maintain the current rate at the November Board of Governors Meeting? · Maintain current rate | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 81% | 12 | Nov 18, 08:29 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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