Markets › Kalshi › Crypto
Bitcoin range on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 AM EST is above 83299.99 at 5 AM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 318 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $88,000 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 30,060 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $75,500 to 75,999.99 | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 14,864 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $74,500 to 74,999.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 10,114 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $75,000 to 75,499.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 8,306 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,500 to 74,749.99 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 7,400 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,300 to 74,399.99 | 66¢ | 66% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 5,178 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $76,000 to 76,499.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 4,963 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $79,500 to 79,999.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,849 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $76,500 to 76,999.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 4,222 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,250 to 74,499.99 | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 3,753 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,750 to 74,999.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 3,358 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $78,500 to 78,999.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,351 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $74,000 to 74,499.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 2,792 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $75,000 to 75,249.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 2,760 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $69,500 to 69,999.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,925 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $72,000 to 72,499.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 1,819 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,200 to 74,299.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,771 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $71,000 to 71,499.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,533 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,000 to 74,249.99 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 1,166 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $70,500 to 70,999.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 1,163 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $71,500 to 71,999.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,104 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,400 to 74,499.99 | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 1,089 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $69,000 to 69,499.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,048 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $81,000 to 81,499.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 950 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $73,000 to 73,499.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 897 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $73,500 to 73,999.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 871 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $80,000 to 80,499.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 828 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $68,000 to 68,499.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 603 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $75,500 to 75,749.99 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 549 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $75,250 to 75,499.99 | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 542 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $77,000 to 77,499.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 536 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $68,500 to 68,999.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 527 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $70,000 to 70,499.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 523 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $79,000 to 79,499.99 | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 456 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $77,500 to 77,999.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 430 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $86,000 to 86,499.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 426 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $72,500 to 72,999.99 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 340 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 13, 2026? · $78,000 to 78,499.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 329 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $74,100 to 74,199.99 | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 323 | Nov 10, 10:00 UTC |
| Bitcoin price range on Nov 10, 2026? · $76,250 to 76,499.99 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 310 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 318 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.