Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Turkey BSL Game on Kalshi
If Karsiyaka Basket wins the Karsiyaka Basket vs Bordo BK men's professional Turkey BSL basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026 at 12:30 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 11 Nov 2026 06:31 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karsiyaka Basket wins · Karsiyaka Basket | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:30 UTC |
| Bordo BK wins · Bordo BK | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 17:30 UTC |
| Manisa BBSK wins · Manisa BBSK | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Galatasaray SK wins · Galatasaray SK | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 15:00 UTC |
| Trabzonspor Basketbol wins · Trabzonspor Basketbol | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 12:30 UTC |
| Tofas SK Bursa wins · Tofas SK Bursa | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 12:30 UTC |
| Turk Telekom wins · Turk Telekom | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 10:00 UTC |
| Petkim Spor Aliaga wins · Petkim Spor Aliaga | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 16, 10:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.